Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.076443 0.085772 0.095452 0.106220 0.117835 0.129961 0.143550
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.060007 0.073547 0.088459 0.105975 0.125858 0.147603 0.173056
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.047874 0.063801 0.082334 0.105182 0.132273 0.163059 0.200371
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.042097 0.060291 0.082467 0.110898 0.145782 0.186603 0.237377
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.037807 0.057800 0.083196 0.116875 0.159402 0.210379 0.275124
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.032271 0.052813 0.080029 0.117354 0.165818 0.225255 0.302233
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.026680 0.046924 0.074945 0.114696 0.167744 0.234256 0.322008
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.024352 0.045349 0.075415 0.119179 0.178781 0.254726 0.356270
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.021942 0.043300 0.074940 0.122162 0.187743 0.272588 0.387462
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.019557 0.040955 0.073758 0.123939 0.194961 0.288194 0.415925
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.017202 0.038331 0.071878 0.124485 0.200343 0.301350 0.441320
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.016904 0.039168 0.075301 0.132823 0.216708 0.329351 0.486504
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.014573 0.036235 0.072774 0.132495 0.221279 0.342228 0.512897
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.012901 0.034294 0.071702 0.134319 0.229025 0.359689 0.545909
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.011116 0.031850 0.069566 0.134335 0.234094 0.373562 0.574384
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.010673 0.032076 0.071980 0.141591 0.249995 0.402753 0.624060
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.010272 0.032322 0.074410 0.148919 0.266139 0.432532 0.674948
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.009013 0.030451 0.072852 0.149584 0.272130 0.447953 0.706202
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.007457 0.027575 0.069165 0.146459 0.272142 0.454755 0.725552
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.007031 0.027379 0.070500 0.151818 0.285338 0.480656 0.771775
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.006453 0.026688 0.070802 0.155376 0.295762 0.502674 0.812815
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.005793 0.025646 0.070311 0.157493 0.303915 0.521469 0.849521
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.005078 0.024288 0.069046 0.158144 0.309692 0.536813 0.881489